Wednesday 11 November 2020

Special Leave (Siginicant Religious Or Significant Cultural Event)

 




Below is an email that I just sent to MP Princa Radhakrishnan


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Te Rata Hikairo
Wed 11/11/2020 11:16 PM
  •  priyanca@parliament.govt.nz
Tena Koe Priyanca

DIWALI AS A PUBLIC HOLIDAY

I write to you, first unsure if you are aware of the call for Diwali to become a Public Holiday on New Zealand.
I wish to express that although, I could see myself finding enjoyment in it, I am unsure if there is a wide appetite amongst the Wider New Zealand Public for this. And if it was even widely consulted on, I quite frankly fear that it may elevate Anti-Hindu sentiments that may be latent in some sectors of our Society.
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As such, something that MIGHT ACTUALLY get more support is a bill that

  • Created (If it is not yet already explicitly stated in the Law) a type of paid leave, where someone can go to attend an event of Significant Religious Or Significant Cultural significance for them
  • Possibly that a fund be created to support this
  • A provision in that Bill that an Employer might maybe even be able to apply to that fund, the purpose of which would be to reimburse a percentage of the wage they'd pay that day, but only if the Employer suffered a loss for paying that wage
The rationale for Employers being that;

If an Employer takes care of the Wellbeing of the Employee then the Employee is going to be more productive overall.
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Anyone that attended a Diwali function for example, would need only to take a Diwali Celebration Invitation that then gets attached to their leave application as evidence, so they can they be paid while still attending.
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AGAIN, Only if this or something like this DOES NOT Yet exist in the Law, would it need to be written up and Proposed.

It could also of course be used too, by Sikhs for Vaisakhi and Muslims for Eid. But also, things that specific Iwi even celebrate that others might not, they too, could also see benefit in a bill like this. So it could end up benefitiing an even wider range of people.

Potentially, a person might even be eligible for maybe 3 - 5 days (that can be consulted on)....
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But yes, I see this as a Great Compromise that might get a greater uptake by people and get the support of a wider cross section of New Zealanders.

TeRata Rangi Boldy


Wednesday 12 August 2020

Allaying our fears about Billy Te Kahika


Yes this is a rare post. I have not done one in a while. YES, It is Political.

Moving away from my usual blog-based stance of leaving things for voters to decide... I HAVE TO TAKE A STANCE.... AND I feel a need to publicize it. I have sometimes done this before, like in 2016 when I made a video expressing disappointment at the Election of Donald J. Trump. So yes. sometimes in extreme cases I DO give my own Political Opinion.
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And I feel obliged to do so here too. 

I am a Te Tai Tokerau voter in 2020.
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I want to use data to reassure voters in Te Tai Tokerau but also ACROSS New Zealand.

I believe that like me, many are worried about NZPP Leader, Billy Te Kahika being elected. Everyone has their own reasons. Mine are thus; His views are NOT Just extreme but dangerous, not just the peddling of conspiracies but widely promoting civil unrest.

I can NOT in good faith ever lend my support to something like that. Some argue that even mentioning it fuels the fire and I myself am aware of that. This very post may even be attacked by him and his followers. I accept that.
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I just need to say before I go on that this post is NOT aimed at them or him. They can say what they wish.
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MY POST HERE is for the thousands of people who fear Billy Te Kahika being elected.

And we are right to fear this. I believe that he is more extreme that Pauline Hanson and may even be more extreme than Donald Trump. He is the most extreme candidate I have ever known of in New Zealand. He is not a danger to the quote unquote 'establishment'. HE IS A DANGER to our Peace, to our Safety and to our very liberty. All of us ought to be concerned at his rise in Social media popularity. And before I go on.... there is merit is being annoyed at some things.. undoubtedly. BUT Billy's version and style of fight... seek to promote unrest and discord in the very fabric of what it means to be peace loving New Zealanders.
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Enough rhetoric... here are my assertions based on facts.

First off;

BILLY TE KAHIKA IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY TO BE ELECTED TO PARLIAMENT IN THE 2020 GENERAL ELECTION.
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The New Zealand Public Party is NOT Registered. Neither are they listed as a component Party of Advance New Zealand. As far as I know then, New Zealand Public Party can't be elected to Parliament based on the Party Vote as they can not contest it.

Also in terms of Advance New Zealand, the facts are that votes for them in terms of Electoral Law are only for them, NOT the New Zealand Public Party.
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I believe this is so because the 'merger' has not been registered with the Electoral Commission either. And so again, no one can Party vote New Zealand Public Party. And Party votes from Advance New Zealand stay with Advance New Zealand. 

Further to this, even if the 2 do publicize a combined list, it won't elect Kahika as he is not Advance New Zealand but New Zealand Public Party. I may not be accurate but I am quite sure I am.

This means too then that in the highly unlikely event of Jami-Lee Ross winning Botany in 2020, it will not bring in Billy Te Kahika in accordance with the well founded but important technicality of Electoral Law. As far as I understand, even in that unlikely event, Billy not being a member of Advance New Zealand or any (non existent) component Parties thereof, can not use the 'tailing' rule to be Elected.

Again, this is just assumption but it is well founded. The precedent I base this on, is the 2014 case of InternetMANA. They actually did register together for their merger and they did thus contest a 'combined' Party vote. But of course they COULD NOT do so (or place any Electoral hopes therein at the time) without taking that initial step of registering together.

In this 2020 case of Advance New Zealand and New Zealand Public Party the well-publicized 'merger' is neither registered nor binding on the Electoral Commission as the legal work in terms of Party registration has not taken place. Sidenote, Advance New Zealand has also not yet published any Party Constitution. This though would ultimately be of no consequence, because even if their Constitution makes allowance for NZPP, New Zealand Law does NOT. 

So, in summary, Billy Te Kahika can't use the coat tailing rule EVEN IF the unlikely happens and Jami-Lee Ross is elected in the Botany Seat in 2020.
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THE OTHER Way that Billy Te Kahika seeks to be elected is as the MP for Te Tai Tokerau. 

Unequivocally I can say in all the History of MMP, Te Tai Tokerau Voters have NEVER Elected MPs who did not have their own Party Registered.

In 1996, Tau Henare's Party was registered. From 1999 to 2002, Dover Samuel's Party was a registered Party. From 2005 to 2011, Hone Harawira's Parties were registered. In 2014 and 2017, Kelvin Davis's Party was a registered Party.
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Further, a note on that Incumbent vote for Kelvin Davis, his 2014 Majority was 743. In 2017, Kelvin Davis's majority increased to 4807.

I see it is as highly unlikely that Kelvin Davis loses in Te Tai Tokerau. Only time will tell.

Of course though, I see it as even MORE unlikely that he'd lose the Te Tai Tokerau Seat to Billy Te Kahika. 
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So again... Billy Te Kahika can't even contest and thus not be elected on the Party Vote (he may change it later, but we'll pray that they do not).

And of course standing in Te Tai Tokerau, he is unlikely to get second place, let alone first.
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Nothing is impossible. 

But the data for me is clear. 

BILLY TE KAHIKA, LEADER OF NZPP IS NOT LIKELY TO BE ELECTED AS A MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT IN THE 2020 GENERAL ELECTION.

That does NOT mean that we don't take him any less seriously... I am saying we MUST TAKE HIM SERIOUSLY.... And the way to do so is to vote accordingly.
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This blog post is Authorized by me. 

Saturday 16 May 2020

Maori Party stands again in Te Tai Tokerau for 2020

In a press release, Facebook and Instagram post, the Maori Party announced their candidate for the 2020 Election.

At this point, I'm not seeking to promote any particular candidate over any others at this stage.
As I tend to do though in my entries, I'll post up the numbers for people to see.

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Quick Look at
Political Stats for Te Paati Maori in the Electorate of Te Tai Tokerau
Year
Candidate Votes
Party Votes
Win/Lose
2005
9,965
6,151
Win
2008
12,019
6,204
Win
2011
3,114
2,208
Lose
2014
2,579
2,300
Lose
2017
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1615
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2020
?
?
?




NB: In terms of my own vote and politics this year, I am living in the Te Tai Tokerau Electorate and as of writing, remain somewhat undecided.