Core Numbers for National and Labour

Core Numbers for National and Labour going back to 1996 (MMP Elections, the last 7 Elections)

Data from www.electionresults.govt.nz 

You decide what it means:

Labour:

2014 Result: 604,535

2014 Percentage: 25.13%

2011 Result: 614,937

2011 Percentage: 27.48%

2008 Result: 796,880

2008 Percentage: 33.99%

2005 Result: 935,319

2005 Percentage: 41.10%

2002 Result: 838,219

2002 Percentage: 41.26%

1999 Result: 800,199

1999 Percentage: 38.74%

1996 Result: 584,159

1996 Percentage: 28.19%

National:

2014 Result 1,131,501

2014 Percentage 47.04%

2011 Result 1,058,636

2011 Percentage 47.31%

2008 Result 1,053,398

2008 Percentage 44.93%

2005 Result 889,813

2005 Percentage 39.10%

2002 Result 425.310

2002 Percentage 20.93%

1999 Result 629,932

1999 Percentage 30.50%

1996 Result 701,315

1996 Percentage 33.84%

All this tells us that there are about 2 - 4 hundred thousand swing voters.

Or in other words, we can see from the Change Elections (1999 and 2008), the difference is about 8 - 10%

I mean these results tell us that it is really up to the swing voters. I've only looked at numbers here and only for the 2 major Partys. Also it is clear that every single one of these Elections had their own unique circumstances and situations that influenced the results.

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One thing is clear.... that the only truly trustworthy poll is on Election Night AND

That it is important to vote.

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For the 2017, I do not doubt that it may well be quite close... National voters will turn out and so will Labour.

We just want to see who gets more???